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Mortgage rates at record low again

Written By Emdua on Kamis, 20 September 2012 | 08.40

Mortgage rates fell to a record low once again in the latest reading.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Mortgage rates fell to record low levels once again last week, as the Federal Reserve's decision to buy billions in home loans for the foreseeable future helped bring lending costs down for home buyers and owners.

Mortgage finance backer Freddie Mac's weekly survey of mortgage rates showed the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 3.49% from 3.55% the previous week. That matched the previous record low set in July. The fixed-rate 15-year mortgage reached a new record low of 2.77%, down from 2.85% a week earlier.

The Fed announced last Thursday that it would be buying $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities each month for the foreseeable future. The idea of the purchases, popularly know as QE3, is to spur economic activity buy pumping more cash into the economy and driving down rates. Those taking out new home loans, either to purchase or refinance, will be among the first beneficiaries of the Fed's policy.

Keith Gumbinger, vice president of HSH.com, a provider of mortgage information and analysis, said he would expect rates will likely go about 0.2 percentage point lower in the coming weeks as the market reacts to the Fed's mortgage bond purchases.

"I don't think you've seen the full effect of the Fed's influence in the market yet," he said. "I think we'll have to see a slowdown in mortgage applications, working through some of the volume in the pipeline."

The low rates can help the economy even beyond the effect it has on the housing market, by putting more money in the pockets of homeowners who refinance. Someone who bought a house a year ago by borrowing $200,000 at the 4.09% 30-year rate a year ago can still reduce their payments by more than $1,000 a year by refinancing at the current rates. Savings are larger if they borrowed more money or paid higher rates.

Related: Fed policies benefit the wealthy

But the lower rates also allow home buyers to pay more for a home, which many believe has been a factor in the recent turnaround in home prices. Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac, said the lower rates should help the ongoing housing recovery.

On Wednesday, the National Association of Realtors reported a 7.8% gain in sales of previously owned homes compared to a year earlier, while the Census Bureau reported that housing starts and building permits rose substantially in August. Other readings have reported that home prices are finally turning higher after years of steady decline.

But while the housing market is showing signs of improvement, prices and sales are still hurt by an excess inventory of foreclosed homes and continued jobs market weakness.

Gumbinger said while the lower rates are a positive for the housing market, they are only part of the solution.

"Mortgage rates haven't been the impediment to home sales for quite some time," he said.

Gumbinger said many potential buyers can't qualify for the low rates due to recent foreclosures ruining their credit. And other buyers who might qualify still are reluctant to buy after watching the damage done by falling prices in recent years.

"There's a sizable part of the market that can't be served, or won't be served, by low rates," he said. To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 10:15 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Growth worries pressure U.S. stocks

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NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks logged modest declines Thursday, as disappointing reports in Asia and Europe showed further signs of slowing global growth.

Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were down between 0.3% and 0.5%.

An HSBC report on Chinese manufacturing showed that manufacturing in the world's second-largest economy continued to contract in September. That's worrisome for U.S. investors since China is the world's second-largest economy and many U.S. companies have a big presence in the country. The weak report pushed Asian stocks down between 1% and 2%.

European markets also came under pressure after a regional purchasing managers index fell to a 39-month low. Economists had expected the index to show a slight uptick in business activity.

ING Bank economist Martin van Vliet called it "an unpleasant surprise," adding that it "quashes hopes for an imminent end to the recession."

Related: Best stocks to own if you're betting on Romney

The news wasn't any better in the U.S.

The Labor Department reported a bigger decline in first-time unemployment benefit claims in the latest week. And, at 382,000, the number is still not low enough to ease worries about continued high unemployment.

Firms responding to the September Business Outlook Survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported nearly flat business activity this month. The survey's indicators for general activity and new orders both improved from last month but recorded levels near zero.

U.S. stocks ended little changed Wednesday, as investors wait to see if stimulus measures from central banks across the globe will jumpstart the global economy.

Related: Fear & Greed Index in 'extreme greed'

Companies: ConAgra Foods (CAG, Fortune 500) shares shot up nearly 7% after the food processing company reported better-than-expected earnings.

Shares of the nation's largest car retailer, CarMax (KMX, Fortune 500), fell after the company reported earnings that missed estimates.

Rite Aid (RAD, Fortune 500) shares were in the red after the drugstore chain's reported loss of 5 cents per share was worse than anticipated.

Shares of investment bank Jefferies (JEF) dropped 7% despite reporting better-than-expected earnings before Thursday's open.

Shares of railroad operator Norfolk Southern (NSC, Fortune 500) were down after the company lowered its third-quarter guidance Wednesday. Fellow rail transport firms CSX (CSX, Fortune 500), Union Pacific (UNP, Fortune 500)and Kansas City Southern (KSU) also fell on the news.

Shares of Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY, Fortune 500) slid 9% after the retailer missed earnings estimates.

Online real estate site Trulia (TRLA) raised $102 million through an initial public offering that priced at $17 a share - above its estimated rand. Shares, which began trading on the New York Stock Exchange Thursday, rose 38% from the IPO price.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the euro and British pound, but it fell versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for October delivery fell 34 cents to $91.64 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery fell $10.10 to $1,761.40 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose, pushing the yield down to 1.74% from 1.78% late Wednesday. To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 9:44 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Madoff victims get another $2.5 billion

Another $2.5 billion is being returned to victims of Ponzi schemer Bernard Madoff.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Victims of Bernard Madoff's Ponzi scheme will receive another $2.5 billion of their stolen funds, a court-appointed trustee said Thursday.

Irving Picard, the trustee in charge of recovering assets lost to the biggest Ponzi scheme in history, said that he mailed the checks Wednesday to 1,230 investors who were burned by Madoff.

The payments range from $1,784 to as much as $526.8 million, with the average payment being $2 million, according to Picard's office.

This is in addition to nearly $1.15 billion worth of payments that have already been sent out, bringing the total funds that have been recovered and distributed to victims up to more than $3.6 billion.

Related: Wiped out by Madoff - Meet the victims

As a result of the latest payments, claims for another 182 victims have been fully satisfied, meaning that a total of 1,074 investor accounts have been fully reimbursed, according to the trustee's office. But the remaining 1,048 investors are still waiting to receive all of their stolen funds.

About $17.3 billion was lost to Madoff's long-running pyramid-style scheme, which came crashing down with his arrest on Dec. 11, 2008 in Manhattan, where his firm was headquartered and where he lived with his wife Ruth in a $7 million penthouse. Madoff pleaded guilty three months later to fraud and other charges in New York federal district court and is currently serving a 150-year sentence at a prison in North Carolina.

The trustee said that his office has recovered about $9.15 billion so far. To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 9:21 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Jobless claims dip slightly

Those filing for first-time unemployment benefits remained higher than forecasts last week.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The number of people filing for their first week of unemployment benefits fell slightly last week, the government said Thursday.

The Labor Department said 382,000 people filed first-time jobless claims in the week ended Sept. 15. That was worse than the forecast of 375,000 people from economists surveyed by Briefing.com, although it was down 3,000 from the revised reading from the previous week.

The previous week's reading had itself been inflated by an estimated 9,000 filing for claims during that period due to Tropical Storm Isaac earlier in the month.

The report follows last week's closely watched August jobs report, which showed employers added only 96,000 to payrolls in the month, less than needed to keep up with population growth. While the unemployment rate fell to 8.1% in that report, that was only because nearly 400,000 of those without jobs, mostly young adults, stopped looking for work and were no longer counted as unemployed.

Related: Who are 49% getting government benefits?

About 3.3 million received their second week or more of unemployment benefits last week, which was down 32,000 from those who were getting ongoing help during the previous period.

The continued weakness in the jobs market is a major reason that the Federal Reserve announced last week that it would be pumping more money into the economy through buying mortgage bonds, a third round of quantitative easing popularly known as QE3.

The four-week moving average for initial jobless claims increased by 2,000 to 377,750. That average is used by economists to eliminate any week-to-week volatility in the reading.

To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 8:44 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Mississippi has highest poverty and lowest income

Click on the map to see poverty and income levels in your state.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Mississippi once again leads the nation in poverty and lags in median household income.

According to U.S. Census Bureau figures released Thursday. Mississippi had a poverty rate of 22.6% in 2011, while its median household income came in at $36,919. Both were roughly the same as the year before.

Median household income declined in 18 states between 2010 and 2011, with Nevada registering the largest drop of 6%. In the remaining states, it stayed statistically the same. Maryland once again had the highest median household income, coming in at $70,004.

Meanwhile, the percentage of people in poverty increased in 17 states.

Vermont was the only state where median household income increased and the number and share of people in poverty fell.

The District of Columbia had the highest income inequality, while Wyoming had the most equal incomes.

Nationally, Census figures showed that median household income was $50,054 in 2011, down 1.5% from a year earlier. Income inequality widened, as the highest income echelon experienced a jump, while those in the middle saw income shrink.

The national poverty rate eased to 15% in 2011, down slightly from 15.1% the year before. Some 46.2 million people fell below the poverty line last year, and one in five children were poor. To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 7:22 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Stocks: Set for lower open on global slowdown

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NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks were poised for a lower open on Thursday, as disappointing reports in Asia and Europe showed signs that business everywhere continues to stall.

Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures were down more than 0.2%.

A Chinese manufacturing report by HSBC, a purchasing manager's index, showed that manufacturing in the world's second largest economy ticked up slightly in September but still shrunk. Asian markets responded by closing in the red, with the Shanghai Composite losing 2.1%, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong shedding 1.2% and Japan's Nikkei dropping 1.6%.

It was similar in Europe, where Markit's regional purchasing managers index fell to a 39-month low. It showed the fastest contraction of new business and services in more than three years, and European stocks all dropped in morning trading. Britain's FTSE 100 was down 0.7%, the DAX in Germany dropped 0.5% and France's CAC 40 fell 1%.

Back in the U.S., investors begin Thursday awaiting data on initial jobless claims and a handful of corporate results. They appear fearful of doing much with stocks as they try to get a handle on where the economy is headed.

With the status of the recovery still in doubt, central bankers around the world have been stepping up stimulus efforts.

Last week, the Federal Reserve announced a third round of the asset-purchasing program known as quantitative easing. That came after the European Central Bank revealed its new bond-buying program earlier this month.

On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan also announced that it was expanding its asset-purchasing program.

U.S. stocks closed up slightly on Wednesday.

Related: Fear & Greed Index

Economy: At 8:30 a.m. ET, the Labor Department will release data on initial jobless claims for the week ended September 15, which are expected to total 375,000, according to a survey of analysts by Briefing.com. At 10 a.m., the Philadelphia branch of the Federal Reserve will release its monthly business outlook survey.

Companies: Firms including drugstore chain Rite Aid (RAD, Fortune 500) and investment bank Jefferies (JEF) are due to report their quarterly results on Thursday morning.

Software giant Oracle (ORCL, Fortune 500) is up after the bell. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect Oracle to report earnings of 53 cents a share on $8.4 billion in revenue.

Shares of railroad operator Norfolk Southern (NSC, Fortune 500) sank in after-hours trading Wednesday after the company lowered its third-quarter guidance. Fellow rail transport firms CSX (CSX, Fortune 500), Union Pacific (UNP, Fortune 500)and Kansas City Southern (KSU) also fell on the news.

Shares of Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY, Fortune 500) dropped in after-hours trading Wednesday after the retailer missed earnings estimates.

Online real estate site Trulia announced Wednesday evening that it had priced its initial public offering at $17 a share. The company will begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange Thursday under the symbol "TRLA."

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the euro and British pound, but it fell versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for October delivery fell 89 cents to $91.09 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery fell $9.30 to $1,762.40 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose, pushing the yield down to 1.73% from 1.78% late Wednesday. To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 6:20 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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The iPhone 5 may be Apple's last blowout U.S. bestseller

The iPhone 5 could be the best-selling U.S. phone of all time.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The iPhone 5 hasn't even hit stores yet and it's already blowing the doors off the competition. Apple pre-sold 2 million iPhone 5s in one day, setting a new smartphone record.

Industry analysts widely expect the iPhone 5 to be the bestselling mobile device of all time. Given the way Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) continues winning over consumers around the world, the iPhone 5's global record will probably last exactly one sales cycle, until the iPhone 6 is released.

In the United States, however, there's a reasonable chance that the iPhone 5 will hold the nation's smartphone sales record for much longer -- maybe forever. As the smartphone boom comes to an end and carriers make upgrades more expensive and onerous for their customers, the iPhone's popularity in the U.S. is likely to plateau.

The number of American smartphone subscribers is expected to reach nearly 140 million by the end of 2012, equal to 57% of wireless customers, according to Kevin Smithen, an analyst at Macquarie Securities. The percentage of wireless subscribers with a smartphone is on pace to eclipse the magic 70% threshold next year -- the level at which most telecommunications services, like cable and broadband, have historically begun to slow their rapid rise.

"The smartphone market, and particularly the iPhone market, will slow next year after very strong shipments of the next iPhone through year-end," Smithen predicts.

The U.S. smartphone upgrade rate has already begun to fall, thanks to a combination of factors. Innovation has slowed over the past couple years (the iPhone 5 has another row of apps!) and carriers have begun to make upgrades more expensive and less desirable (hello, "shared data" plans). After the iPhone 4S launch absolutely decimated carriers' profit margins, the networks made their upgrade policies more restrictive by raising activation fees, forcing customers to adopt tiered plans and lengthening the time customers need to stay under contract to become eligible for a new phone.

"These moves should result in fewer total upgrades ... than seen in prior launches," said Mike McCormack, analyst at Nomura Securities.

Related story: The iPhone 5 is coming ... will there be an iPhone 10?

Yes, the iPhone 5 will sell like crazy. But by the time the iPhone 6 comes around, the U.S. smartphone market will look very different.

The number of iPhone upgrades -- customers moving from one version of Apple's gadget to another -- nearly doubled in 2011 and is expected to double again in 2012 to roughly 20 million, according to Macquarie estimates. But the forecasts for iPhone upgrades after that show a flat line.

Most of Apple's iPhones get sold to brand-new customers. Last year, Apple newbies bought two-thirds of the 30 million iPhones sold in the U.S., Macquarie estimates.

Those numbers will start dropping as the pool of untapped iPhone customers willing to splurge on a new iPhone dries up. The iPhone represented 45% of all smartphone sales last year at the "Big Three" national carriers -- Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500), AT&T (T, Fortune 500) and Sprint (S, Fortune 500). Analysts at Macquarie, Nomura and other Wall Street firms expect that figure to rise significantly this year -- then level off.

"We do not believe that Apple can grow its market share at the Big Three beyond 70%, as we expect several new low-end smartphones from Amazon (AMZN, Fortune 500), Huawei, LG, Nokia (NOK), Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) and Motorola in the new year as well as a Samsung Galaxy S4 at the high end," said Smithen.

As a result, Macquarie predicts that iPhone sales will top out at 46.3 million next year before falling to 45.5 million in 2014.

Of course, this is Apple we're talking about. The world's biggest tech company has repeatedly proved naysayers wrong. Thanks to Apple's reality distortion field and passionate groupies, the iPhone 6 and its successors could once again set new records in the United States.

"As long as there are Apple fanboys and fangirls, there will always be demand for the iPhone," says Ramon Llamas, analyst at IDC. "There's so much about the iPhone that people love and lust over, and Apple just kind of ropes you in. There's a lot to keep Apple's momentum going." To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 5:42 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Federal Reserve policies favor the rich

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The Federal Reserve's most recent stimulus is expected to boost homes prices and the stock market, but what if you're too poor to invest in either?

The Fed unveiled its third round of stimulus last week. The massive bond-buying initiative, called quantitative easing, aims to prop up the economy through a few key channels -- namely the housing market and the stock market.

Both of those channels skew in favor of Americans who are already in solid financial standing, and it seems, the wealthier you are, the more you have to gain.

"Quantitative easing is a blunt tool and cannot really target specific areas of the economy, aside from mortgage rates. Even then, it tends to help the wealthy spectrum of the income distribution," said Sung Won Sohn, economics professor at Cal State Channel Islands.

Related: Federal Reserve launches QE3

First, by lowering mortgage rates, the Fed hopes to encourage more home sales and ultimately boost home prices. More home equity and less expensive home loans also put more money in consumers' pockets.

But with banks still skittish about lending, only borrowers with the highest credit scores and large down payments can qualify for the lowest rates. That's limited the effects of lower rates on the housing market.

"Because of ongoing restrictions in the supply of mortgage credit to customers with less than perfect credit records, the impact of lower mortgage rates on housing is probably less powerful than normal," said William Dudley, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in a speech Tuesday.

Only 67% of Americans own their homes, and the number is heavily skewed toward the wealthy. Among the poorest fifth of American households, most are renters. Only 37% own homes, according to Fed data from 2010.

Second, the Fed's low interest rate policies also tend to encourage investors to search for higher yields in stocks or riskier assets, leading to big gains in the stock market. The S&P 500 rallied 1.6% after the Fed's previous stimulus plan was announced.

That's been a boon for those who have most of their wealth in investments. But only 50% of Americans have stock holdings. Of those earning less than $20,000 a year, only 13% own stocks.

But the Fed's intention isn't to help the rich get richer. Their main goal, according to Fed chief Ben Bernanke, is to help the middle class by creating more jobs.

"This is a Main Street policy because what we are about here is trying to get jobs going," Bernanke said at a press conference last week.

"If people feel that their financial situation is better because their 401(k) looks better for whatever reason, their house is worth more, they are more willing to go out and spend and that's going to provide the demand that firms need in order to be willing to hire and to invest," he said. To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 6:01 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Factory data sends China stocks to nearly 4-year low

Investors were spooked by a report from HSBC that contained more bad news for China.

HONG KONG (CNNMoney) -- World markets dropped Thursday as weak economic data from China unnerved investors and sent the Shanghai Composite Index to its lowest level in almost four years.

Broad declines hit markets in Asia, with the Hang Seng in Hong Kong skidding 1.2%, the Nikkei in Tokyo falling 1.6% and the Shanghai Composite dropping 2.1%.

The decline left the Shanghai index at 2,024.8, its lowest level since February, 2009. The Nikkei and Hang Seng remain in positive territory for the year.

European markets were also lower. In early trading, the CAC 40 in France and London's FTSE were down 0.7%, while the DAX in Frankfurt tumbled 0.3%.

Investors were spooked by a report from HSBC that contained more dour news for China. HSBC's initial purchasing manager's index for Chinese manufacturing ticked up slightly to 47.8 in September from 47.6, the bank said Thursday. Any reading below 50 indicates that factory growth is shrinking rather than picking up speed.

Economists at Capital Economics said the data indicated a stabilization in China's economy, but not a recovery.

"Today's survey provides reassurance that conditions in manufacturing are not deteriorating," the economists wrote in a research note. "But we are now approaching the one-year anniversary of this index dropping below 50 and a recovery is still not in sight."

Manufacturing in China is considered a barometer of the global economy because of the country's role as a powerhouse exporter.

China, the world's second-largest economy behind the United States, has been hit particularly hard by the recession in much of Europe, where weak conditions have zapped demand. Many economists have downgraded their growth expectations for China in recent weeks.

Policymakers in Beijing, meanwhile, have taken steps to stimulate the economy, including a new round of infrastructure spending, with $157 billion approved for 55 projects. To top of page

First Published: September 20, 2012: 5:23 AM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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Manufacturing growth slows in China

Written By Emdua on Rabu, 19 September 2012 | 21.20

A worker at an automobile plant in Beijing, China.

HONG KONG (CNNMoney) -- Manufacturing growth in China continued to slide in September, according to a key initial reading released Thursday.

HSBC's initial purchasing manager's index for Chinese manufacturing ticked up slightly to 47.8 in September from 47.6, the bank said Thursday. Any reading below 50 indicates that factory growth is shrinking rather than picking up speed.

"China's manufacturing growth is still slowing, but the pace of slowdown is stabilizing," Hongbin Qu, an economist at HSBC, said in a statement. "This is adding more pressures to the labor market and has prompted Beijing to step up easing over the past weeks."

Manufacturing in China is considered a barometer of the global economy because of the country's role as a powerhouse exporter.

China, the world's second-largest economy behind the United States, has been hit particularly hard by the recession in much of Europe. The European sovereign debt crisis has prompted steep austerity measures in many countries. Weak conditions have zapped demand in the eurozone, the largest market for Chinese exports.

In addition, the U.S. economy has slowed, further cutting demand for Chinese exports. The slowdown in China also worries investors because China has become a major market for U.S. companies.

Related: World's largest economies

Many economists have downgraded their growth expectations for China in recent weeks.

Swiss banking giant UBS has lowered its forecast for how much China's economy will grow this year to 7.5% from 8%. And Goldman Sachs has issued a slightly less dour outlook for China growth -- dropping it to 7.6% from 8.0%.

Chinese officials have moved in recent months to spur growth. The country's central bank cut rates in June and July -- the first such actions since 2008.

And policymakers have confirmed a new round of infrastructure spending, with $157 billion approved for 55 projects. The projects include 25 new subway lines, as well as highway and waterway investments.

The investment comes at a crucial time, as China is scheduled to undergo a leadership change in coming weeks that will reshape the top ranks of China's government and the ruling Communist Party. To top of page

First Published: September 19, 2012: 11:58 PM ET

20 Sep, 2012


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